Southern Jaguars 71, Alabama State Hornets 64
NCAA Men's · 2026-03-03 · Winner: Southern Jaguars
Southern Jaguars defeated Alabama State Hornets 71–64 on 2026-03-03 in NCAA Men's play, a 7-point result. A 9-0 road team run ending at H2 0:02 swung win probability 78% → 0%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Alabama State Hornets lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Southern Jaguars | 28 | 43 | 71 |
| Alabama State Hornets | 34 | 30 | 64 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 9-0 road team run ending at H2 0:02 swung win probability 78% → 0%.
Why Alabama State Hornets lost
- Lost H2 30-43 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 9-0 run ending at H2 8:50 (win probability 97% → 63% for the home side).
- Shot 43.5% eFG vs a 47.8% season average - a cold night.
- Lost the turnover battle 13-9.
- Outscored 19-10 at the free-throw line.
- Game was within 5 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Southern Jaguars | 9–0 | H2 8:50 | 97% → 63% |
| Southern Jaguars | 9–0 | H2 0:02 | 78% → 0% |