Alabama State Hornets 68, Southern Jaguars 69
NCAA Men's · 2026-02-09 · Winner: Southern Jaguars
Southern Jaguars defeated Alabama State Hornets 69–68 on 2026-02-09 in NCAA Men's play, a 1-point result. A 10-0 road team run ending at H2 16:40 swung win probability 68% → 18%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Alabama State Hornets lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Alabama State Hornets | 37 | 31 | 68 |
| Southern Jaguars | 35 | 34 | 69 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 10-0 road team run ending at H2 16:40 swung win probability 68% → 18%.
Why Alabama State Hornets lost
- Gave up a 11-0 run ending at H1 16:57 (win probability 55% → 88% for the home side).
- Lost the turnover battle 17-9.
- Game was within 2 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Southern Jaguars | 11–0 | H1 16:57 | 55% → 88% |
| Alabama State Hornets | 10–0 | H2 16:40 | 68% → 18% |
| Southern Jaguars | 11–0 | H2 8:49 | 3% → 48% |