Tarleton State Texans 88, Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils 64
NCAA Men's · 2025-12-16 · Winner: Tarleton State Texans
Tarleton State Texans defeated Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils 88–64 on 2025-12-16 in NCAA Men's play, a 24-point result. A 8-0 road team run ending at H1 7:45 swung win probability 69% → 34%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tarleton State Texans | 43 | 45 | 88 |
| Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils | 40 | 24 | 64 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 8-0 road team run ending at H1 7:45 swung win probability 69% → 34%.
Why Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils lost
- Lost H2 24-45 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 10-0 run ending at H2 9:44 (win probability 8% → 0% for the home side).
- Lost the turnover battle 26-16.
- Outscored 20-8 at the free-throw line.
- Beaten on the offensive glass 10-5.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tarleton State Texans | 8–0 | H1 14:23 | 54% → 24% |
| Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils | 9–0 | H1 12:15 | 24% → 57% |
| Tarleton State Texans | 8–0 | H1 7:45 | 69% → 34% |
| Tarleton State Texans | 10–0 | H2 9:44 | 8% → 0% |
| Tarleton State Texans | 9–0 | H2 6:22 | 0% → 0% |