Vanderbilt Commodores 77, Memphis Tigers 70
NCAA Men's · 2025-12-17 · Winner: Vanderbilt Commodores
Vanderbilt Commodores defeated Memphis Tigers 77–70 on 2025-12-17 in NCAA Men's play, a 7-point result. A 9-0 road team run ending at OT 0:57 swung win probability 65% → 0%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Memphis Tigers lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | OT | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vanderbilt Commodores | 28 | 34 | 15 | 77 |
| Memphis Tigers | 22 | 40 | 8 | 70 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 9-0 road team run ending at OT 0:57 swung win probability 65% → 0%.
Why Memphis Tigers lost
- Lost OT 8-15 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 9-0 run ending at H1 6:10 (win probability 58% → 23% for the home side).
- Shot 39.1% eFG vs a 48.7% season average - a cold night.
- Outscored 31-20 at the free-throw line.
- Game was within 2 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Vanderbilt Commodores | 9–0 | H1 6:10 | 58% → 23% |
| Memphis Tigers | 10–0 | H2 12:08 | 28% → 78% |
| Vanderbilt Commodores | 9–0 | OT 0:57 | 65% → 0% |