UMBC Retrievers 69, South Florida Bulls 94
NCAA Men's · 2025-12-21 · Winner: South Florida Bulls
South Florida Bulls defeated UMBC Retrievers 94–69 on 2025-12-21 in NCAA Men's play, a 25-point result. A 8-0 home team run ending at H1 2:17 swung win probability 94% → 100%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why UMBC Retrievers lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UMBC Retrievers | 29 | 40 | 69 |
| South Florida Bulls | 45 | 49 | 94 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 8-0 home team run ending at H1 2:17 swung win probability 94% → 100%.
Why UMBC Retrievers lost
- Lost H1 29-45 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 8-0 run ending at H1 2:17 (win probability 94% → 100% for the home side).
- Shot 48.3% eFG vs a 54.4% season average - a cold night.
- Lost the turnover battle 15-8.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| South Florida Bulls | 8–0 | H1 2:17 | 94% → 100% |
| South Florida Bulls | 8–0 | H2 12:59 | 100% → 100% |
| UMBC Retrievers | 9–0 | H2 6:39 | 100% → 100% |
| South Florida Bulls | 8–0 | H2 1:14 | 100% → 100% |