Michigan State Spartans 80, Michigan Wolverines 90
NCAA Men's · 2026-03-08 · Winner: Michigan Wolverines
Michigan Wolverines defeated Michigan State Spartans 90–80 on 2026-03-08 in NCAA Men's play, a 10-point result. A 11-0 home team run ending at H2 8:29 swung win probability 32% → 94%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Michigan State Spartans lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Michigan State Spartans | 41 | 39 | 80 |
| Michigan Wolverines | 42 | 48 | 90 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 11-0 home team run ending at H2 8:29 swung win probability 32% → 94%.
Why Michigan State Spartans lost
- Lost H2 39-48 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 11-0 run ending at H1 13:24 (win probability 47% → 84% for the home side).
- Shot 49.2% eFG vs a 53.8% season average - a cold night.
- Outscored 26-16 at the free-throw line.
- Game was within 5 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Michigan Wolverines | 11–0 | H1 13:24 | 47% → 84% |
| Michigan State Spartans | 8–0 | H1 1:47 | 76% → 40% |
| Michigan Wolverines | 11–0 | H2 8:29 | 32% → 94% |