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Rutgers Scarlet Knights 87, Michigan State Spartans 91

NCAA Men's · 2026-03-05 · Winner: Michigan State Spartans

Michigan State Spartans defeated Rutgers Scarlet Knights 91–87 on 2026-03-05 in NCAA Men's play, a 4-point result. A 11-0 home team run ending at H2 18:22 swung win probability 44% → 90%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Rutgers Scarlet Knights lost.

Linescore

H1H2Final
Rutgers Scarlet Knights305787
Michigan State Spartans316091

Win probability

Michigan State Spartans win probability 100% 0% end tip-off
Home team (Michigan State Spartans) win probability through the game. 50% dashed line = coin flip.
Turning point — A 11-0 home team run ending at H2 18:22 swung win probability 44% → 90%.
Why Rutgers Scarlet Knights lost

Scoring runs

TeamRunEndsWin-prob swing
Michigan State Spartans11–0H2 18:2244% → 90%

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