Oregon Ducks 54, Illinois Fighting Illini 80
NCAA Men's · 2026-03-03 · Winner: Illinois Fighting Illini
Illinois Fighting Illini defeated Oregon Ducks 80–54 on 2026-03-03 in NCAA Men's play, a 26-point result. A 21-0 home team run ending at H1 9:06 swung win probability 39% → 97%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Oregon Ducks lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oregon Ducks | 21 | 33 | 54 |
| Illinois Fighting Illini | 41 | 39 | 80 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 21-0 home team run ending at H1 9:06 swung win probability 39% → 97%.
Why Oregon Ducks lost
- Lost H1 21-41 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 21-0 run ending at H1 9:06 (win probability 39% → 97% for the home side).
- Shot 36.7% eFG vs a 49.5% season average - a cold night.
- Beaten on the offensive glass 14-9.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Illinois Fighting Illini | 21–0 | H1 9:06 | 39% → 97% |
| Illinois Fighting Illini | 15–0 | H2 9:26 | 99% → 100% |