Iowa Hawkeyes 69, Penn State Nittany Lions 71
NCAA Men's · 2026-02-28 · Winner: Penn State Nittany Lions
Penn State Nittany Lions defeated Iowa Hawkeyes 71–69 on 2026-02-28 in NCAA Men's play, a 2-point result. A 9-0 road team run ending at H2 4:30 swung win probability 84% → 10%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Iowa Hawkeyes lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Iowa Hawkeyes | 38 | 31 | 69 |
| Penn State Nittany Lions | 34 | 37 | 71 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 9-0 road team run ending at H2 4:30 swung win probability 84% → 10%.
Why Iowa Hawkeyes lost
- Lost H2 31-37 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 9-0 run ending at H1 12:41 (win probability 38% → 72% for the home side).
- Game was within 3 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Penn State Nittany Lions | 9–0 | H1 12:41 | 38% → 72% |
| Iowa Hawkeyes | 8–0 | H1 10:47 | 72% → 40% |
| Iowa Hawkeyes | 8–0 | H2 19:26 | 64% → 24% |
| Penn State Nittany Lions | 9–0 | H2 13:59 | 27% → 74% |
| Iowa Hawkeyes | 9–0 | H2 4:30 | 84% → 10% |