Oregon Ducks 62, Northwestern Wildcats 63
NCAA Men's · 2026-02-28 · Winner: Northwestern Wildcats
Northwestern Wildcats defeated Oregon Ducks 63–62 on 2026-02-28 in NCAA Men's play, a 1-point result. A 12-0 road team run ending at H1 0:41 swung win probability 80% → 26%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Oregon Ducks lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oregon Ducks | 36 | 26 | 62 |
| Northwestern Wildcats | 29 | 34 | 63 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 12-0 road team run ending at H1 0:41 swung win probability 80% → 26%.
Why Oregon Ducks lost
- Lost H2 26-34 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 9-0 run ending at H2 12:01 (win probability 25% → 75% for the home side).
- Shot 44.9% eFG vs a 49.5% season average - a cold night.
- Lost the turnover battle 16-12.
- Game was within 1 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oregon Ducks | 12–0 | H1 0:41 | 80% → 26% |
| Northwestern Wildcats | 8–0 | H2 15:54 | 8% → 35% |
| Northwestern Wildcats | 9–0 | H2 12:01 | 25% → 75% |