Oregon Ducks 71, USC Trojans 70
NCAA Men's · 2026-02-21 · Winner: Oregon Ducks
Oregon Ducks defeated USC Trojans 71–70 on 2026-02-21 in NCAA Men's play, a 1-point result. A 8-0 home team run ending at H2 10:14 swung win probability 39% → 86%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why USC Trojans lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oregon Ducks | 35 | 36 | 71 |
| USC Trojans | 32 | 38 | 70 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 8-0 home team run ending at H2 10:14 swung win probability 39% → 86%.
Why USC Trojans lost
- Gave up a 8-0 run ending at H1 6:03 (win probability 85% → 56% for the home side).
- Shot 43.3% eFG vs a 50.7% season average - a cold night.
- Game was within 5 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oregon Ducks | 8–0 | H1 6:03 | 85% → 56% |
| USC Trojans | 8–0 | H2 10:14 | 39% → 86% |