Illinois Fighting Illini 94, UCLA Bruins 95
NCAA Men's · 2026-02-21 · Winner: UCLA Bruins
UCLA Bruins defeated Illinois Fighting Illini 95–94 on 2026-02-21 in NCAA Men's play, a 1-point result. A 20-0 road team run ending at H1 9:27 swung win probability 52% → 2%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Illinois Fighting Illini lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | OT | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Illinois Fighting Illini | 50 | 36 | 8 | 94 |
| UCLA Bruins | 43 | 43 | 9 | 95 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 20-0 road team run ending at H1 9:27 swung win probability 52% → 2%.
Why Illinois Fighting Illini lost
- Lost H2 36-43 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 8-0 run ending at H1 6:39 (win probability 4% → 17% for the home side).
- Shot 50.0% eFG vs a 54.7% season average - a cold night.
- Lost the turnover battle 9-5.
- Game was within 0 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Illinois Fighting Illini | 20–0 | H1 9:27 | 52% → 2% |
| UCLA Bruins | 8–0 | H1 6:39 | 4% → 17% |
| UCLA Bruins | 8–0 | H2 14:45 | 22% → 59% |