USC Trojans 77, Penn State Nittany Lions 75
NCAA Men's · 2026-02-08 · Winner: USC Trojans
USC Trojans defeated Penn State Nittany Lions 77–75 on 2026-02-08 in NCAA Men's play, a 2-point result. A 10-0 home team run ending at H1 1:14 swung win probability 41% → 84%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Penn State Nittany Lions lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| USC Trojans | 36 | 41 | 77 |
| Penn State Nittany Lions | 40 | 35 | 75 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 10-0 home team run ending at H1 1:14 swung win probability 41% → 84%.
Why Penn State Nittany Lions lost
- Lost H2 35-41 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 9-0 run ending at H2 12:55 (win probability 96% → 69% for the home side).
- Game was within 1 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Penn State Nittany Lions | 10–0 | H1 1:14 | 41% → 84% |
| USC Trojans | 9–0 | H2 12:55 | 96% → 69% |