Northwestern Wildcats 44, Illinois Fighting Illini 84
NCAA Men's · 2026-02-04 · Winner: Illinois Fighting Illini
Illinois Fighting Illini defeated Northwestern Wildcats 84–44 on 2026-02-04 in NCAA Men's play, a 40-point result. A 11-0 home team run ending at H1 13:11 swung win probability 54% → 88%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Northwestern Wildcats lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Northwestern Wildcats | 19 | 25 | 44 |
| Illinois Fighting Illini | 47 | 37 | 84 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 11-0 home team run ending at H1 13:11 swung win probability 54% → 88%.
Why Northwestern Wildcats lost
- Lost H1 19-47 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 14-0 run ending at H1 8:19 (win probability 84% → 100% for the home side).
- Shot 32.3% eFG vs a 51.7% season average - a cold night.
- Outscored 11-2 at the free-throw line.
- Beaten on the offensive glass 11-6.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Illinois Fighting Illini | 11–0 | H1 13:11 | 54% → 88% |
| Illinois Fighting Illini | 14–0 | H1 8:19 | 84% → 100% |
| Illinois Fighting Illini | 8–0 | H1 5:16 | 99% → 100% |
| Illinois Fighting Illini | 13–0 | H2 12:33 | 100% → 100% |
| Illinois Fighting Illini | 11–0 | H2 5:17 | 100% → 100% |