USC Trojans 72, Iowa Hawkeyes 73
NCAA Men's · 2026-01-28 · Winner: Iowa Hawkeyes
Iowa Hawkeyes defeated USC Trojans 73–72 on 2026-01-28 in NCAA Men's play, a 1-point result. A 9-0 home team run ending at H1 0:52 swung win probability 24% → 64%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why USC Trojans lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| USC Trojans | 28 | 44 | 72 |
| Iowa Hawkeyes | 27 | 46 | 73 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 9-0 home team run ending at H1 0:52 swung win probability 24% → 64%.
Why USC Trojans lost
- Gave up a 10-0 run ending at H2 14:41 (win probability 82% → 99% for the home side).
- Outscored 19-11 at the free-throw line.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| USC Trojans | 8–0 | H1 17:14 | 55% → 26% |
| Iowa Hawkeyes | 9–0 | H1 0:52 | 24% → 64% |
| Iowa Hawkeyes | 10–0 | H2 14:41 | 82% → 99% |
| USC Trojans | 12–0 | H2 2:59 | 100% → 86% |