Michigan State Spartans 88, Rutgers Scarlet Knights 79
NCAA Men's · 2026-01-27 · Winner: Michigan State Spartans
Michigan State Spartans defeated Rutgers Scarlet Knights 88–79 on 2026-01-27 in NCAA Men's play, a 9-point result. A 8-0 road team run ending at OT 2:32 swung win probability 81% → 3%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Rutgers Scarlet Knights lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | OT | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michigan State Spartans | 28 | 45 | 15 | 88 |
| Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 37 | 36 | 6 | 79 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 8-0 road team run ending at OT 2:32 swung win probability 81% → 3%.
Why Rutgers Scarlet Knights lost
- Lost H2 36-45 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 8-0 run ending at OT 2:32 (win probability 81% → 3% for the home side).
- Beaten on the offensive glass 13-6.
- Game was within 3 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 8–0 | H1 9:46 | 62% → 86% |
| Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 8–0 | H1 4:21 | 72% → 93% |
| Michigan State Spartans | 8–0 | OT 2:32 | 81% → 3% |