USC Trojans 73, Wisconsin Badgers 71
NCAA Men's · 2026-01-25 · Winner: USC Trojans
USC Trojans defeated Wisconsin Badgers 73–71 on 2026-01-25 in NCAA Men's play, a 2-point result. A 8-0 road team run ending at H2 4:54 swung win probability 91% → 34%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Wisconsin Badgers lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| USC Trojans | 39 | 34 | 73 |
| Wisconsin Badgers | 41 | 30 | 71 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 8-0 road team run ending at H2 4:54 swung win probability 91% → 34%.
Why Wisconsin Badgers lost
- Gave up a 8-0 run ending at H1 12:07 (win probability 54% → 23% for the home side).
- Shot 41.0% eFG vs a 54.5% season average - a cold night.
- Game was within 1 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| USC Trojans | 8–0 | H1 12:07 | 54% → 23% |
| Wisconsin Badgers | 9–0 | H2 13:25 | 42% → 87% |
| Wisconsin Badgers | 8–0 | H2 12:00 | 79% → 98% |
| USC Trojans | 8–0 | H2 8:14 | 98% → 83% |
| USC Trojans | 8–0 | H2 4:54 | 91% → 34% |