Illinois Fighting Illini 75, Iowa Hawkeyes 69
NCAA Men's · 2026-01-11 · Winner: Illinois Fighting Illini
Illinois Fighting Illini defeated Iowa Hawkeyes 75–69 on 2026-01-11 in NCAA Men's play, a 6-point result. A 13-0 road team run ending at H1 11:47 swung win probability 50% → 9%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Iowa Hawkeyes lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Illinois Fighting Illini | 35 | 40 | 75 |
| Iowa Hawkeyes | 24 | 45 | 69 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 13-0 road team run ending at H1 11:47 swung win probability 50% → 9%.
Why Iowa Hawkeyes lost
- Lost H1 24-35 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 13-0 run ending at H1 11:47 (win probability 50% → 9% for the home side).
- Shot 47.7% eFG vs a 56.4% season average - a cold night.
- Game was within 5 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Illinois Fighting Illini | 13–0 | H1 11:47 | 50% → 9% |
| Illinois Fighting Illini | 8–0 | H2 11:25 | 11% → 0% |