Michigan Wolverines 74, Penn State Nittany Lions 72
NCAA Men's · 2026-01-06 · Winner: Michigan Wolverines
Michigan Wolverines defeated Penn State Nittany Lions 74–72 on 2026-01-06 in NCAA Men's play, a 2-point result. A 11-0 road team run ending at H1 10:45 swung win probability 81% → 40%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Penn State Nittany Lions lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Michigan Wolverines | 40 | 34 | 74 |
| Penn State Nittany Lions | 31 | 41 | 72 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 11-0 road team run ending at H1 10:45 swung win probability 81% → 40%.
Why Penn State Nittany Lions lost
- Lost H1 31-40 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 11-0 run ending at H1 10:45 (win probability 81% → 40% for the home side).
- Shot 40.9% eFG vs a 53.0% season average - a cold night.
- Game was within 5 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Michigan Wolverines | 11–0 | H1 10:45 | 81% → 40% |
| Michigan Wolverines | 8–0 | H2 10:41 | 17% → 1% |
| Penn State Nittany Lions | 12–0 | H2 7:13 | 1% → 30% |