USC Trojans 51, Michigan State Spartans 80
NCAA Men's · 2026-01-05 · Winner: Michigan State Spartans
Michigan State Spartans defeated USC Trojans 80–51 on 2026-01-05 in NCAA Men's play, a 29-point result. A 10-0 home team run ending at H1 12:24 swung win probability 43% → 79%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why USC Trojans lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| USC Trojans | 17 | 34 | 51 |
| Michigan State Spartans | 33 | 47 | 80 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 10-0 home team run ending at H1 12:24 swung win probability 43% → 79%.
Why USC Trojans lost
- Lost H1 17-33 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 10-0 run ending at H1 12:24 (win probability 43% → 79% for the home side).
- Shot 35.5% eFG vs a 50.7% season average - a cold night.
- Lost the turnover battle 17-12.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Michigan State Spartans | 10–0 | H1 12:24 | 43% → 79% |
| Michigan State Spartans | 8–0 | H1 5:54 | 87% → 98% |