Michigan State Spartans 56, Nebraska Cornhuskers 58
NCAA Men's · 2026-01-02 · Winner: Nebraska Cornhuskers
Nebraska Cornhuskers defeated Michigan State Spartans 58–56 on 2026-01-02 in NCAA Men's play, a 2-point result. A 10-0 home team run ending at H2 9:31 swung win probability 51% → 97%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Michigan State Spartans lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Michigan State Spartans | 33 | 23 | 56 |
| Nebraska Cornhuskers | 33 | 25 | 58 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 10-0 home team run ending at H2 9:31 swung win probability 51% → 97%.
Why Michigan State Spartans lost
- Gave up a 10-0 run ending at H2 9:31 (win probability 51% → 97% for the home side).
- Shot 44.0% eFG vs a 53.8% season average - a cold night.
- Lost the turnover battle 21-8.
- Game was within 0 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Michigan State Spartans | 8–0 | H1 1:49 | 84% → 49% |
| Nebraska Cornhuskers | 10–0 | H2 9:31 | 51% → 97% |