Iona Gaels 86, Merrimack Warriors 88
NCAA Men's · 2026-02-22 · Winner: Merrimack Warriors
Merrimack Warriors defeated Iona Gaels 88–86 on 2026-02-22 in NCAA Men's play, a 2-point result. A 9-0 road team run ending at OT 1:18 swung win probability 76% → 10%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Iona Gaels lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | OT | OT2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iona Gaels | 33 | 35 | 9 | 9 | 86 |
| Merrimack Warriors | 36 | 32 | 9 | 11 | 88 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 9-0 road team run ending at OT 1:18 swung win probability 76% → 10%.
Why Iona Gaels lost
- Gave up a 8-0 run ending at H2 16:50 (win probability 76% → 94% for the home side).
- Lost the turnover battle 12-4.
- Outscored 25-12 at the free-throw line.
- Game was within 0 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Merrimack Warriors | 8–0 | H2 16:50 | 76% → 94% |
| Iona Gaels | 8–0 | H2 7:13 | 98% → 85% |
| Iona Gaels | 10–0 | H2 0:58 | 97% → 70% |
| Iona Gaels | 9–0 | OT 1:18 | 76% → 10% |
| Merrimack Warriors | 8–0 | OT2 4:39 | 10% → 74% |