Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs 77, Winthrop Eagles 88
NCAA Men's · 2026-01-03 · Winner: Winthrop Eagles
Winthrop Eagles defeated Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs 88–77 on 2026-01-03 in NCAA Men's play, a 11-point result. A 13-0 road team run ending at H1 6:46 swung win probability 40% → 4%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs | 50 | 27 | 77 |
| Winthrop Eagles | 37 | 51 | 88 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 13-0 road team run ending at H1 6:46 swung win probability 40% → 4%.
Why Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs lost
- Lost H2 27-51 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 9-0 run ending at H2 18:00 (win probability 2% → 15% for the home side).
- Outscored 26-11 at the free-throw line.
- Beaten on the offensive glass 18-5.
- Game was within 4 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs | 13–0 | H1 6:46 | 40% → 4% |
| Winthrop Eagles | 9–0 | H2 18:00 | 2% → 15% |
| Winthrop Eagles | 9–0 | H2 3:06 | 74% → 100% |