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Boise State Broncos 69, Fresno State Bulldogs 53

NCAA Men's · 2026-02-28 · Winner: Boise State Broncos

Boise State Broncos defeated Fresno State Bulldogs 69–53 on 2026-02-28 in NCAA Men's play, a 16-point result. A 8-0 road team run ending at H2 6:20 swung win probability 12% → 0%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Fresno State Bulldogs lost.

Linescore

H1H2Final
Boise State Broncos284169
Fresno State Bulldogs233053

Win probability

Fresno State Bulldogs win probability 100% 0% end tip-off
Home team (Fresno State Bulldogs) win probability through the game. 50% dashed line = coin flip.
Turning point — A 8-0 road team run ending at H2 6:20 swung win probability 12% → 0%.
Why Fresno State Bulldogs lost

Scoring runs

TeamRunEndsWin-prob swing
Boise State Broncos8–0H2 6:2012% → 0%

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