Fresno State Bulldogs 60, Grand Canyon Lopes 85
NCAA Men's · 2026-03-07 · Winner: Grand Canyon Lopes
Grand Canyon Lopes defeated Fresno State Bulldogs 85–60 on 2026-03-07 in NCAA Men's play, a 25-point result. A 9-0 home team run ending at H1 8:39 swung win probability 49% → 82%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Fresno State Bulldogs lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fresno State Bulldogs | 29 | 31 | 60 |
| Grand Canyon Lopes | 44 | 41 | 85 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 9-0 home team run ending at H1 8:39 swung win probability 49% → 82%.
Why Fresno State Bulldogs lost
- Lost H1 29-44 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 10-0 run ending at H1 2:15 (win probability 90% → 100% for the home side).
- Shot 40.8% eFG vs a 51.0% season average - a cold night.
- Lost the turnover battle 14-10.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Grand Canyon Lopes | 9–0 | H1 8:39 | 49% → 82% |
| Grand Canyon Lopes | 10–0 | H1 2:15 | 90% → 100% |
| Grand Canyon Lopes | 10–0 | H2 5:21 | 100% → 100% |