New Mexico Lobos 70, Grand Canyon Lopes 64
NCAA Men's · 2026-02-11 · Winner: New Mexico Lobos
New Mexico Lobos defeated Grand Canyon Lopes 70–64 on 2026-02-11 in NCAA Men's play, a 6-point result. A 10-0 road team run ending at H1 15:14 swung win probability 59% → 22%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Grand Canyon Lopes lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| New Mexico Lobos | 40 | 30 | 70 |
| Grand Canyon Lopes | 27 | 37 | 64 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 10-0 road team run ending at H1 15:14 swung win probability 59% → 22%.
Why Grand Canyon Lopes lost
- Lost H1 27-40 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 10-0 run ending at H1 15:14 (win probability 59% → 22% for the home side).
- Shot 41.7% eFG vs a 51.7% season average - a cold night.
- Game was within 2 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| New Mexico Lobos | 10–0 | H1 15:14 | 59% → 22% |
| Grand Canyon Lopes | 8–0 | H2 11:10 | 6% → 36% |