Boise State Broncos 69, Grand Canyon Lopes 86
NCAA Men's · 2026-01-30 · Winner: Grand Canyon Lopes
Grand Canyon Lopes defeated Boise State Broncos 86–69 on 2026-01-30 in NCAA Men's play, a 17-point result. A 8-0 home team run ending at H2 15:24 swung win probability 64% → 94%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Boise State Broncos lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Boise State Broncos | 41 | 28 | 69 |
| Grand Canyon Lopes | 43 | 43 | 86 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 8-0 home team run ending at H2 15:24 swung win probability 64% → 94%.
Why Boise State Broncos lost
- Lost H2 28-43 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 10-0 run ending at H2 10:00 (win probability 88% → 100% for the home side).
- Shot 47.2% eFG vs a 52.6% season average - a cold night.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Grand Canyon Lopes | 8–0 | H2 15:24 | 64% → 94% |
| Grand Canyon Lopes | 10–0 | H2 10:00 | 88% → 100% |