Grand Canyon Lopes 64, New Mexico Lobos 87
NCAA Men's · 2026-01-13 · Winner: New Mexico Lobos
New Mexico Lobos defeated Grand Canyon Lopes 87–64 on 2026-01-13 in NCAA Men's play, a 23-point result. A 8-0 home team run ending at H1 16:37 swung win probability 62% → 86%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Grand Canyon Lopes lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Grand Canyon Lopes | 33 | 31 | 64 |
| New Mexico Lobos | 38 | 49 | 87 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 8-0 home team run ending at H1 16:37 swung win probability 62% → 86%.
Why Grand Canyon Lopes lost
- Lost H2 31-49 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 10-0 run ending at H2 5:15 (win probability 100% → 100% for the home side).
- Shot 39.2% eFG vs a 51.7% season average - a cold night.
- Outscored 21-13 at the free-throw line.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| New Mexico Lobos | 8–0 | H1 16:37 | 62% → 86% |
| New Mexico Lobos | 8–0 | H2 10:41 | 92% → 100% |
| New Mexico Lobos | 10–0 | H2 5:15 | 100% → 100% |