Grand Canyon Lopes 75, Boise State Broncos 58
NCAA Men's · 2026-01-07 · Winner: Grand Canyon Lopes
Grand Canyon Lopes defeated Boise State Broncos 75–58 on 2026-01-07 in NCAA Men's play, a 17-point result. A 8-0 road team run ending at H1 2:14 swung win probability 64% → 27%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Boise State Broncos lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Grand Canyon Lopes | 37 | 38 | 75 |
| Boise State Broncos | 27 | 31 | 58 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 8-0 road team run ending at H1 2:14 swung win probability 64% → 27%.
Why Boise State Broncos lost
- Lost H1 27-37 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 10-0 run ending at H2 18:43 (win probability 35% → 4% for the home side).
- Shot 38.8% eFG vs a 52.6% season average - a cold night.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Boise State Broncos | 9–0 | H1 14:19 | 32% → 65% |
| Boise State Broncos | 8–0 | H1 7:00 | 44% → 76% |
| Grand Canyon Lopes | 8–0 | H1 2:14 | 64% → 27% |
| Grand Canyon Lopes | 10–0 | H2 18:43 | 35% → 4% |
| Grand Canyon Lopes | 8–0 | H2 7:18 | 27% → 1% |