UNLV Rebels 86, San Diego State Aztecs 89
NCAA Men's · 2026-03-06 · Winner: San Diego State Aztecs
San Diego State Aztecs defeated UNLV Rebels 89–86 on 2026-03-06 in NCAA Men's play, a 3-point result. A 11-0 home team run ending at H1 11:10 swung win probability 31% → 72%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why UNLV Rebels lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UNLV Rebels | 39 | 47 | 86 |
| San Diego State Aztecs | 42 | 47 | 89 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 11-0 home team run ending at H1 11:10 swung win probability 31% → 72%.
Why UNLV Rebels lost
- Gave up a 11-0 run ending at H1 11:10 (win probability 31% → 72% for the home side).
- Game was within 2 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| UNLV Rebels | 8–0 | H1 14:21 | 62% → 31% |
| San Diego State Aztecs | 11–0 | H1 11:10 | 31% → 72% |