San Diego State Aztecs 76, New Mexico Lobos 81
NCAA Men's · 2026-02-28 · Winner: New Mexico Lobos
New Mexico Lobos defeated San Diego State Aztecs 81–76 on 2026-02-28 in NCAA Men's play, a 5-point result. A 10-0 road team run ending at H1 12:29 swung win probability 65% → 27%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why San Diego State Aztecs lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| San Diego State Aztecs | 37 | 39 | 76 |
| New Mexico Lobos | 36 | 45 | 81 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 10-0 road team run ending at H1 12:29 swung win probability 65% → 27%.
Why San Diego State Aztecs lost
- Lost H2 39-45 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Outscored 25-13 at the free-throw line.
- Beaten on the offensive glass 14-7.
- Game was within 4 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| San Diego State Aztecs | 10–0 | H1 12:29 | 65% → 27% |