Grand Canyon Lopes 73, San Diego State Aztecs 63
NCAA Men's · 2026-02-17 · Winner: Grand Canyon Lopes
Grand Canyon Lopes defeated San Diego State Aztecs 73–63 on 2026-02-17 in NCAA Men's play, a 10-point result. A 8-0 road team run ending at H2 16:32 swung win probability 73% → 31%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why San Diego State Aztecs lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Grand Canyon Lopes | 29 | 44 | 73 |
| San Diego State Aztecs | 33 | 30 | 63 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 8-0 road team run ending at H2 16:32 swung win probability 73% → 31%.
Why San Diego State Aztecs lost
- Lost H2 30-44 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 8-0 run ending at H2 16:32 (win probability 73% → 31% for the home side).
- Shot 37.9% eFG vs a 53.2% season average - a cold night.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| San Diego State Aztecs | 8–0 | H1 1:01 | 40% → 77% |
| Grand Canyon Lopes | 8–0 | H2 16:32 | 73% → 31% |