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Nevada Wolf Pack 57, San Diego State Aztecs 71

NCAA Men's · 2026-02-14 · Winner: San Diego State Aztecs

San Diego State Aztecs defeated Nevada Wolf Pack 71–57 on 2026-02-14 in NCAA Men's play, a 14-point result. A 13-0 home team run ending at H2 12:47 swung win probability 58% → 99%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Nevada Wolf Pack lost.

Linescore

H1H2Final
Nevada Wolf Pack253257
San Diego State Aztecs363571

Win probability

San Diego State Aztecs win probability 100% 0% end tip-off
Home team (San Diego State Aztecs) win probability through the game. 50% dashed line = coin flip.
Turning point — A 13-0 home team run ending at H2 12:47 swung win probability 58% → 99%.
Why Nevada Wolf Pack lost

Scoring runs

TeamRunEndsWin-prob swing
San Diego State Aztecs9–0H1 15:1248% → 78%
San Diego State Aztecs8–0H1 9:5762% → 87%
Nevada Wolf Pack9–0H1 1:2298% → 87%
San Diego State Aztecs13–0H2 12:4758% → 99%

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