San Diego State Aztecs 82, UNLV Rebels 71
NCAA Men's · 2026-01-24 · Winner: San Diego State Aztecs
San Diego State Aztecs defeated UNLV Rebels 82–71 on 2026-01-24 in NCAA Men's play, a 11-point result. A 8-0 road team run ending at H1 1:34 swung win probability 64% → 26%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why UNLV Rebels lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| San Diego State Aztecs | 39 | 43 | 82 |
| UNLV Rebels | 34 | 37 | 71 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 8-0 road team run ending at H1 1:34 swung win probability 64% → 26%.
Why UNLV Rebels lost
- Lost H2 37-43 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 8-0 run ending at H1 11:33 (win probability 78% → 49% for the home side).
- Outscored 22-12 at the free-throw line.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| San Diego State Aztecs | 8–0 | H1 11:33 | 78% → 49% |
| UNLV Rebels | 9–0 | H1 9:40 | 49% → 82% |
| San Diego State Aztecs | 8–0 | H1 1:34 | 64% → 26% |