San Diego State Aztecs 69, Grand Canyon Lopes 70
NCAA Men's · 2026-01-21 · Winner: Grand Canyon Lopes
Grand Canyon Lopes defeated San Diego State Aztecs 70–69 on 2026-01-21 in NCAA Men's play, a 1-point result. A 8-0 home team run ending at H2 14:28 swung win probability 47% → 86%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why San Diego State Aztecs lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| San Diego State Aztecs | 37 | 32 | 69 |
| Grand Canyon Lopes | 35 | 35 | 70 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 8-0 home team run ending at H2 14:28 swung win probability 47% → 86%.
Why San Diego State Aztecs lost
- Gave up a 8-0 run ending at H2 14:28 (win probability 47% → 86% for the home side).
- Shot 42.7% eFG vs a 53.2% season average - a cold night.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Grand Canyon Lopes | 8–0 | H2 14:28 | 47% → 86% |