New Mexico Lobos 79, San Diego State Aztecs 83
NCAA Men's · 2026-01-17 · Winner: San Diego State Aztecs
San Diego State Aztecs defeated New Mexico Lobos 83–79 on 2026-01-17 in NCAA Men's play, a 4-point result. A 12-0 home team run ending at H1 5:05 swung win probability 44% → 88%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why New Mexico Lobos lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| New Mexico Lobos | 35 | 44 | 79 |
| San Diego State Aztecs | 48 | 35 | 83 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 12-0 home team run ending at H1 5:05 swung win probability 44% → 88%.
Why New Mexico Lobos lost
- Lost H1 35-48 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 12-0 run ending at H1 5:05 (win probability 44% → 88% for the home side).
- Game was within 3 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| San Diego State Aztecs | 12–0 | H1 5:05 | 44% → 88% |
| New Mexico Lobos | 10–0 | H2 17:09 | 99% → 82% |