Fresno State Bulldogs 52, San Diego State Aztecs 71
NCAA Men's · 2026-01-10 · Winner: San Diego State Aztecs
San Diego State Aztecs defeated Fresno State Bulldogs 71–52 on 2026-01-10 in NCAA Men's play, a 19-point result. A 14-0 home team run ending at H2 17:12 swung win probability 93% → 100%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Fresno State Bulldogs lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fresno State Bulldogs | 21 | 31 | 52 |
| San Diego State Aztecs | 36 | 35 | 71 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 14-0 home team run ending at H2 17:12 swung win probability 93% → 100%.
Why Fresno State Bulldogs lost
- Lost H1 21-36 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 14-0 run ending at H2 17:12 (win probability 93% → 100% for the home side).
- Shot 38.1% eFG vs a 51.0% season average - a cold night.
- Lost the turnover battle 17-11.
- Beaten on the offensive glass 13-5.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| San Diego State Aztecs | 14–0 | H2 17:12 | 93% → 100% |
| Fresno State Bulldogs | 9–0 | H2 7:23 | 100% → 100% |
| San Diego State Aztecs | 8–0 | H2 0:22 | 100% → 100% |