San Diego State Aztecs 73, Nevada Wolf Pack 68
NCAA Men's · 2026-01-06 · Winner: San Diego State Aztecs
San Diego State Aztecs defeated Nevada Wolf Pack 73–68 on 2026-01-06 in NCAA Men's play, a 5-point result. A 8-0 road team run ending at H2 19:48 swung win probability 86% → 54%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Nevada Wolf Pack lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| San Diego State Aztecs | 34 | 39 | 73 |
| Nevada Wolf Pack | 36 | 32 | 68 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 8-0 road team run ending at H2 19:48 swung win probability 86% → 54%.
Why Nevada Wolf Pack lost
- Lost H2 32-39 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 10-0 run ending at H1 8:20 (win probability 94% → 69% for the home side).
- Shot 42.4% eFG vs a 50.0% season average - a cold night.
- Game was within 3 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nevada Wolf Pack | 12–0 | H1 15:29 | 62% → 93% |
| San Diego State Aztecs | 10–0 | H1 8:20 | 94% → 69% |
| San Diego State Aztecs | 8–0 | H2 19:48 | 86% → 54% |