Boise State Broncos 107, San Diego State Aztecs 110
NCAA Men's · 2026-01-03 · Winner: San Diego State Aztecs
San Diego State Aztecs defeated Boise State Broncos 110–107 on 2026-01-03 in NCAA Men's play, a 3-point result. A 10-0 road team run ending at OT3 4:04 swung win probability 88% → 9%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Boise State Broncos lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | OT | OT2 | OT3 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boise State Broncos | 29 | 50 | 14 | 5 | 9 | 107 |
| San Diego State Aztecs | 50 | 29 | 14 | 5 | 12 | 110 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 10-0 road team run ending at OT3 4:04 swung win probability 88% → 9%.
Why Boise State Broncos lost
- Lost H1 29-50 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 11-0 run ending at OT2 2:42 (win probability 18% → 88% for the home side).
- Game was within 0 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| San Diego State Aztecs | 9–0 | H1 9:30 | 60% → 85% |
| San Diego State Aztecs | 10–0 | H1 6:11 | 83% → 97% |
| San Diego State Aztecs | 9–0 | H1 3:10 | 95% → 100% |
| Boise State Broncos | 8–0 | H2 15:14 | 99% → 96% |
| Boise State Broncos | 8–0 | H2 11:35 | 98% → 90% |
| San Diego State Aztecs | 11–0 | OT2 2:42 | 18% → 88% |
| Boise State Broncos | 10–0 | OT3 4:04 | 88% → 9% |