San Diego State Aztecs 81, San José State Spartans 68
NCAA Men's · 2025-12-30 · Winner: San Diego State Aztecs
San Diego State Aztecs defeated San José State Spartans 81–68 on 2025-12-30 in NCAA Men's play, a 13-point result. A 10-0 road team run ending at H1 12:29 swung win probability 62% → 23%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why San José State Spartans lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| San Diego State Aztecs | 42 | 39 | 81 |
| San José State Spartans | 38 | 30 | 68 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 10-0 road team run ending at H1 12:29 swung win probability 62% → 23%.
Why San José State Spartans lost
- Lost H2 30-39 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 10-0 run ending at H1 12:29 (win probability 62% → 23% for the home side).
- Shot 39.7% eFG vs a 50.5% season average - a cold night.
- Game was within 4 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| San Diego State Aztecs | 10–0 | H1 12:29 | 62% → 23% |
| San José State Spartans | 9–0 | H1 6:39 | 18% → 51% |