San Diego State Aztecs 45, Arizona Wildcats 68
NCAA Men's · 2025-12-20 · Winner: Arizona Wildcats
Arizona Wildcats defeated San Diego State Aztecs 68–45 on 2025-12-20 in NCAA Men's play, a 23-point result. A 8-0 home team run ending at H1 0:32 swung win probability 27% → 64%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why San Diego State Aztecs lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| San Diego State Aztecs | 27 | 18 | 45 |
| Arizona Wildcats | 28 | 40 | 68 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 8-0 home team run ending at H1 0:32 swung win probability 27% → 64%.
Why San Diego State Aztecs lost
- Lost H2 18-40 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 8-0 run ending at H1 0:32 (win probability 27% → 64% for the home side).
- Shot 27.2% eFG vs a 53.2% season average - a cold night.
- Beaten on the offensive glass 20-10.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Arizona Wildcats | 8–0 | H1 0:32 | 27% → 64% |