Idaho Vandals 83, Cal Poly Mustangs 80
NCAA Men's · 2025-12-21 · Winner: Idaho Vandals
Idaho Vandals defeated Cal Poly Mustangs 83–80 on 2025-12-21 in NCAA Men's play, a 3-point result. A 8-0 road team run ending at H2 18:23 swung win probability 46% → 14%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Cal Poly Mustangs lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | OT | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Idaho Vandals | 29 | 44 | 10 | 83 |
| Cal Poly Mustangs | 26 | 47 | 7 | 80 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 8-0 road team run ending at H2 18:23 swung win probability 46% → 14%.
Why Cal Poly Mustangs lost
- Gave up a 8-0 run ending at H2 18:23 (win probability 46% → 14% for the home side).
- Shot 40.2% eFG vs a 51.9% season average - a cold night.
- Game was within 0 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Idaho Vandals | 8–0 | H2 18:23 | 46% → 14% |
| Cal Poly Mustangs | 14–0 | H2 2:29 | 0% → 24% |