Wisconsin Badgers 66, Villanova Wildcats 76
NCAA Men's · 2025-12-19 · Winner: Villanova Wildcats
Villanova Wildcats defeated Wisconsin Badgers 76–66 on 2025-12-19 in NCAA Men's play, a 10-point result. A 9-0 road team run ending at H2 6:40 swung win probability 98% → 75%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Wisconsin Badgers lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | OT | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wisconsin Badgers | 22 | 34 | 10 | 66 |
| Villanova Wildcats | 35 | 21 | 20 | 76 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 9-0 road team run ending at H2 6:40 swung win probability 98% → 75%.
Why Wisconsin Badgers lost
- Lost H1 22-35 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 8-0 run ending at H1 2:10 (win probability 79% → 96% for the home side).
- Lost the turnover battle 16-8.
- Beaten on the offensive glass 14-7.
- Game was within 0 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wisconsin Badgers | 8–0 | H1 8:23 | 90% → 69% |
| Villanova Wildcats | 8–0 | H1 2:10 | 79% → 96% |
| Wisconsin Badgers | 9–0 | H2 6:40 | 98% → 75% |