Sacramento State Hornets 67, California Baptist Lancers 74
NCAA Men's · 2025-12-20 · Winner: California Baptist Lancers
California Baptist Lancers defeated Sacramento State Hornets 74–67 on 2025-12-20 in NCAA Men's play, a 7-point result. A 11-0 home team run ending at H1 3:08 swung win probability 38% → 83%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Sacramento State Hornets lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sacramento State Hornets | 34 | 33 | 67 |
| California Baptist Lancers | 38 | 36 | 74 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 11-0 home team run ending at H1 3:08 swung win probability 38% → 83%.
Why Sacramento State Hornets lost
- Gave up a 11-0 run ending at H1 3:08 (win probability 38% → 83% for the home side).
- Shot 43.7% eFG vs a 48.2% season average - a cold night.
- Outscored 21-5 at the free-throw line.
- Game was within 5 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sacramento State Hornets | 8–0 | H1 16:15 | 69% → 39% |
| California Baptist Lancers | 11–0 | H1 3:08 | 38% → 83% |
| California Baptist Lancers | 8–0 | H2 8:31 | 80% → 100% |