Southern Jaguars 67, California Baptist Lancers 75
NCAA Men's · 2025-12-16 · Winner: California Baptist Lancers
California Baptist Lancers defeated Southern Jaguars 75–67 on 2025-12-16 in NCAA Men's play, a 8-point result. A 12-0 home team run ending at H2 14:46 swung win probability 43% → 94%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Southern Jaguars lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Southern Jaguars | 32 | 35 | 67 |
| California Baptist Lancers | 34 | 41 | 75 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 12-0 home team run ending at H2 14:46 swung win probability 43% → 94%.
Why Southern Jaguars lost
- Lost H2 35-41 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 12-0 run ending at H2 14:46 (win probability 43% → 94% for the home side).
- Shot 44.8% eFG vs a 51.0% season average - a cold night.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Southern Jaguars | 10–0 | H2 18:41 | 86% → 43% |
| California Baptist Lancers | 12–0 | H2 14:46 | 43% → 94% |
| Southern Jaguars | 9–0 | H2 2:40 | 100% → 79% |