Mercer Bears 78, Washington State Cougars 84
NCAA Men's · 2025-12-20 · Winner: Washington State Cougars
Washington State Cougars defeated Mercer Bears 84–78 on 2025-12-20 in NCAA Men's play, a 6-point result. A 9-0 road team run ending at H1 12:55 swung win probability 75% → 42%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Mercer Bears lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mercer Bears | 39 | 39 | 78 |
| Washington State Cougars | 41 | 43 | 84 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 9-0 road team run ending at H1 12:55 swung win probability 75% → 42%.
Why Mercer Bears lost
- Gave up a 8-0 run ending at H1 9:05 (win probability 40% → 72% for the home side).
- Shot 47.3% eFG vs a 53.3% season average - a cold night.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mercer Bears | 9–0 | H1 12:55 | 75% → 42% |
| Washington State Cougars | 8–0 | H1 9:05 | 40% → 72% |
| Washington State Cougars | 8–0 | H2 11:22 | 88% → 100% |