Mercer Bears 63, UCF Knights 81
NCAA Men's · 2025-12-17 · Winner: UCF Knights
UCF Knights defeated Mercer Bears 81–63 on 2025-12-17 in NCAA Men's play, a 18-point result. A 9-0 home team run ending at H1 6:08 swung win probability 79% → 97%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Mercer Bears lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mercer Bears | 27 | 36 | 63 |
| UCF Knights | 35 | 46 | 81 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 9-0 home team run ending at H1 6:08 swung win probability 79% → 97%.
Why Mercer Bears lost
- Lost H2 36-46 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 9-0 run ending at H1 6:08 (win probability 79% → 97% for the home side).
- Shot 42.5% eFG vs a 53.3% season average - a cold night.
- Lost the turnover battle 17-12.
- Beaten on the offensive glass 17-9.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| UCF Knights | 9–0 | H1 6:08 | 79% → 97% |
| Mercer Bears | 8–0 | H1 4:31 | 97% → 83% |