Rider Broncs 62, Fairfield Stags 68
NCAA Men's · 2026-01-09 · Winner: Fairfield Stags
Fairfield Stags defeated Rider Broncs 68–62 on 2026-01-09 in NCAA Men's play, a 6-point result. A 8-0 home team run ending at H2 1:35 swung win probability 42% → 100%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Rider Broncs lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rider Broncs | 22 | 40 | 62 |
| Fairfield Stags | 34 | 34 | 68 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 8-0 home team run ending at H2 1:35 swung win probability 42% → 100%.
Why Rider Broncs lost
- Lost H1 22-34 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 10-0 run ending at H1 13:43 (win probability 62% → 90% for the home side).
- Lost the turnover battle 10-6.
- Beaten on the offensive glass 17-10.
- Game was within 4 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fairfield Stags | 10–0 | H1 13:43 | 62% → 90% |
| Rider Broncs | 9–0 | H2 4:11 | 98% → 42% |
| Fairfield Stags | 8–0 | H2 1:35 | 42% → 100% |