Cal State Northridge Matadors 85, UC Santa Barbara Gauchos 83
NCAA Men's · 2026-02-19 · Winner: Cal State Northridge Matadors
Cal State Northridge Matadors defeated UC Santa Barbara Gauchos 85–83 on 2026-02-19 in NCAA Men's play, a 2-point result. A 10-0 road team run ending at H2 5:29 swung win probability 95% → 49%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why UC Santa Barbara Gauchos lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | OT | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cal State Northridge Matadors | 32 | 44 | 9 | 85 |
| UC Santa Barbara Gauchos | 27 | 49 | 7 | 83 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 10-0 road team run ending at H2 5:29 swung win probability 95% → 49%.
Why UC Santa Barbara Gauchos lost
- Gave up a 10-0 run ending at H2 5:29 (win probability 95% → 49% for the home side).
- Shot 43.8% eFG vs a 54.9% season average - a cold night.
- Lost the turnover battle 16-6.
- Game was within 4 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| UC Santa Barbara Gauchos | 8–0 | H1 11:00 | 66% → 88% |
| Cal State Northridge Matadors | 9–0 | H1 7:14 | 88% → 61% |
| UC Santa Barbara Gauchos | 8–0 | H2 15:25 | 30% → 68% |
| UC Santa Barbara Gauchos | 8–0 | H2 11:49 | 64% → 93% |
| Cal State Northridge Matadors | 10–0 | H2 5:29 | 95% → 49% |