Long Beach State Beach 87, Cal State Northridge Matadors 80
NCAA Men's · 2026-01-17 · Winner: Long Beach State Beach
Long Beach State Beach defeated Cal State Northridge Matadors 87–80 on 2026-01-17 in NCAA Men's play, a 7-point result. A 12-0 home team run ending at H2 19:48 swung win probability 33% → 84%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Cal State Northridge Matadors lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Long Beach State Beach | 35 | 52 | 87 |
| Cal State Northridge Matadors | 38 | 42 | 80 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 12-0 home team run ending at H2 19:48 swung win probability 33% → 84%.
Why Cal State Northridge Matadors lost
- Lost H2 42-52 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 11-0 run ending at H1 5:48 (win probability 79% → 34% for the home side).
- Shot 44.7% eFG vs a 50.9% season average - a cold night.
- Game was within 2 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cal State Northridge Matadors | 9–0 | H1 14:53 | 47% → 78% |
| Long Beach State Beach | 11–0 | H1 5:48 | 79% → 34% |
| Cal State Northridge Matadors | 12–0 | H2 19:48 | 33% → 84% |